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Gutman's warning - A Journey to the Source of the Nile
An duine og is a chail ne dhiadh
hairyears
hairyears
Gutman's warning


I would imagine that, by now, everyone has read Gutman's warning.         Cached document here

Vista isn't happening in the Square Mile this year. It's that simple. We do not know what the DRM code is doing, it runs at a level of privilege way, way above our own security systems and we simply cannot cede that degree of control over our operations. Let's not even think about malicious code masquerading as the DRM components of a device driver, or as a revocation notice; the worst of it is that bad drivers cannot be backed-out to a minimum certified functionality (like the basic 640x480 video mode) unless we have a long train of certificates permitting us to do so - and that train only needs to be broken once to cost us millions. Nobody has done any of the thinking about system recovery before they started coding driver revocation, and it's simply too late to put it in now.

What happens in five years time is another matter: hell, we're only just getting 'round to XP. We do innovate, despite the staid reputation, and we do spend money if there's a measurable gain - and all too often if there isn't one - but we are very, very cautious about system changeovers because subtle changes in our calculations can cost megabucks and the regression-testing to prevent that costs an eye-watering amount of time and money.

And yes, we're under a regulatory obligation to do the testing. Everyone is taking some serious operation risks if they don't, so - as usual - our regulations are actually no more than sound business practice and a valuable protection. But I bet everyone else in 'the real world' just wings it on 'upgrading' to Vista and hopes it all works.

Unless, of course, there are horror stories. Or quite possibly, even if there are; and what's the betting that the features of Vista be imposed on us anyway, in service packs to XP? Microsoft are going to do some very intensive news management in the next two years; cynic that I am, I believe that the advertising spend on Vista is more to do with financial leverage over the media than any need to open up a communication channel with the customer base.

But, however clever and well-funded their PR people may be, we will know. Investment Banks see everything: it's our business to know about every business and we will buy in the talent from firms who have made the upgrade. And, more importantly, we will buy in the talent from firms who have failed to make the upgrade; brush up your CV's fellow-geeks, the lessons you will learn have a realisable monetary value.

Fast-forward five years to the day when we are forced to move on from an obsolete OS. What's the betting that you'll see a quiet but very well-funded programme of co-operation with the Open--Source movement? Imagine a really cautious risk manager insisting that every trading desk has one reserve machine running cut-down versions of the trading systems and the spreadsheets on Linux... It's not as expensive as losing a day's trading - especially if (say) we have to exercise an option before close-of-trading on the NYSE.

I've worked with Windows all my working life and, despite what you may hear, it has been a blessing to us all: without it we would still be running Wang word processors on Wang hardware that saved documents in a Wang file format that can only be read by other Wang applications and printed on Wang Printers. Or HP, Or IBM, or Toshiba: whatever. It took a Big Bad Corporation to build a big enough operating system that everyone uses it, and every other software vendor works with it rather than against it, each other, and the user population. I fully expect the Big Bad Corporation to make a handsome profit from their systems and I am certain that Microsoft have behaved far, far better than IBM would've done if their DOS and their visual interface had established the natural monopoly that emerges from a widely-used operating system. But Vista and Microsoft's implementation of DRM is a clear indication that they have failed to balance the constant commercial compromise of profit, competition, quality, and customer service.

No, I'll go further - Vista marks out Microsoft as having abandoned that constant search for balance: they are working against their customers, they know it, and and they are entirely satisfied with the direction they have taken.


...Another post that started as a comment on someone elses's ideas. In this case, reddragdiva. The original post is here.

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Comments
reddragdiva From: reddragdiva Date: February 9th, 2007 09:24 pm (UTC) (Link)
Business desktops - any business - will not go Vista any time soon.

But you know what will? Execs' laptops. Shiny shiny shiny. Latest 17" Vaio with all the salad.

Execs discover ... WHOOPS, HE CAN'T PLAY HIS MUSIC! WHOOPS, HE CAN'T WATCH HIS PR0N!

Muwahahahaha.
reddragdiva From: reddragdiva Date: February 9th, 2007 09:25 pm (UTC) (Link)
Oh, seph_hazard's new laptop came with Vista preinstalled. It really is very shiny. It's like a MacOS X skin for Windows.

But you and I know what's underneath.
seph_hazard From: seph_hazard Date: February 10th, 2007 12:28 pm (UTC) (Link)
Oh, she has a fair idea herself.

Had I been given the choice, I wouldn't have gone with it. My father came home with the laptop, and said 'by the way it's running Vista'. My first thought, as it happened, was 'that's alright, I'll just strip it and have it running Ubuntu by the end of the week'.

Actually, I got used to it pretty quickly. And, truth be told, I haven't had a single problem with it yet. It's got a lot of music on it and I've done a lot of web browsing, and I haven't so far bumped in to anything it hates.
panzerbjrn From: panzerbjrn Date: February 9th, 2007 10:24 pm (UTC) (Link)
It's a good thing execs won't have anything valuable on their laptops anyway...

And if the exec wants porn, the CIO will make some poor bastard fiddle with the setup until the exec has his porn :)
reddragdiva From: reddragdiva Date: February 9th, 2007 09:34 pm (UTC) (Link)
ps: spelt Gutmann ;-p
reddragdiva From: reddragdiva Date: February 9th, 2007 09:52 pm (UTC) (Link)
pps: Yer famous! ish.
feanelwa From: feanelwa Date: February 9th, 2007 10:03 pm (UTC) (Link)
I think banks already have a programme of co-operation with the open source movement. Little goths get around.
exmoor_cat From: exmoor_cat Date: February 9th, 2007 10:21 pm (UTC) (Link)
Mind if I snaffle that rant for a debate elsewhere??
hairyears From: hairyears Date: February 10th, 2007 03:47 pm (UTC) (Link)
Be my guest!
oldbloke From: oldbloke Date: February 10th, 2007 08:52 pm (UTC) (Link)
OK if I mention it to our "managed desktop" team?
hairyears From: hairyears Date: February 11th, 2007 12:11 am (UTC) (Link)
Let me know how you get on: apparently the fashionable expression is 'See Spot, care'.
exmoor_cat From: exmoor_cat Date: February 10th, 2007 11:40 am (UTC) (Link)
I x-posted the Gutmann to Stardestroyer - produced some interesting comments, beyond my league now.
http://bbs.stardestroyer.net/viewtopic.php?p=2369086&highlight=#2369086
From: (Anonymous) Date: February 10th, 2007 11:07 pm (UTC) (Link)

Vista's DRM

It seems the answer is to stick with Windows 2000 Pro for those applications that need Windows software and hope any important software you buy in the future will run on it - at least until Microsoft realizes what most other companies in the world have realized for years - the customer is king!

However, perhaps Bill Gates and pals think this philosophy need not apply to them as they believe they can become a total monopoly.

The ancient Greeks had a great word for this - hubris.

Stevieboy
reddragdiva From: reddragdiva Date: February 12th, 2007 01:41 pm (UTC) (Link)

Re: Vista's DRM

XP Pro is fine for corporate desktops and laptops - like Win2k but slightly slicker and lots fatter (but that's not such an issue with the current state of typical business PC CPU and memory). Set the theme to "classic" rather than "teletubby" and you'd hardly know the difference.

I must say, the Vista shininess is top-notch. They've made Windows not look ugly.
From: (Anonymous) Date: February 12th, 2007 06:49 pm (UTC) (Link)

Re: Vista's DRM

I ripped XP out of all of my home machines and now have Suse 10.1 on my main box with Win2k under vmware to run Microsoft Money. So far, that's the only Windows program I can't find an adequate replacement for under _NIX...and I know that Win2k isn't going to "call home" or poke its nose outside my router. It's a viable solution.

David
From: (Anonymous) Date: February 13th, 2007 03:35 pm (UTC) (Link)

word from one big bad corporation about another...

Disclaimer: I work for IBM. I am speaking for myself, not the company and anything I might say about IBMs "corporate viewpoint" is my own opinion and should be considered pure speculation - informed speculation maybe but nonetheless speculation.

As Vista slowly emerged from vaporware status one project became more visible to IBM folks.. a thing called the "open client desktop" - all of IBMs corporate standard middleware, all of the stuff we need to work within the company, all of the stuff required to support our customers... running on linux.

Call me paranoid if you like but I can see nothing that Mr Gates might like more than to have Vistas nasty little fingers in the heart of IBMs (and everyone elses) business operations and it doesnt take much imagination to envision what my managers bosses and corporate strategists think of that possibility. Unless Microsoft rapidly backpedals on this stuff I would predict that the day we are required to upgrade from XP pro on our workstations will be the day that Windows of any flavor becomes the minority OS within this big bad company....
hairyears From: hairyears Date: February 14th, 2007 11:48 am (UTC) (Link)

Cheese and Wine Party

A little 'hobby' project for you: either demonstrate Excel XP (or Office Vista) running on this Open Client Desktop with a little kludge and some WINE*... Or work out a cross-compiler that rewrites the VBA macros in Excel workbooks into the Pascal-based programming language that lives in Open Office's spreadsheet application.

It doesn't have to be good, just good enough that bankers who remember the changeover from Lotus to Excel would regard another move as feasible, in the face of an impracticable alternative.




* Not as silly as it sounds: for a while, MS-Office was more stable on WINE over Linux than in Win2k.

From: (Anonymous) Date: February 15th, 2007 12:25 am (UTC) (Link)

Re: Cheese and Wine Party

There already is a version of OpenOffice that can run VBA macros. Novell did (some of, maybe all) the work on that. As much as I don't like Novell right now, it will certainly help with migrating files from MS Office.
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